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Mobile County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


.SHORT TERM...
Today and Tonight.

The frontal boundary has officially lifted north of the area, so 
really not much of a focus for precipitation this afternoon. With 
that said there will be a differential heating boundary due to low 
clouds and fog across the southeast. This will also correspond with 
the better available moisture across the area. Still not able to go 
any higher than 40 percent for the extreme southeastern counties, 
with just isolated showers/storms across the rest of the southern 
half of the area. Also will need to watch areas in the northwest for 
any shower development. Can not rule out a shower/storm in the 
northwest as a boundary moves closer to the region, but chances 
remain too low to include at this time, as there is a much better 
chance at not seeing anything at all. Once the sun sets, most of the 
precipitation in the southeast will dissipate and fog once again may 
develop. 

16

.LONG TERM...
Thursday through Tuesday.

A weak mid/upper-level shear axis will move into the area Thursday
as what's left of the main shortwave lifts northeastward across
Michigan, ahead of another shortwave moving into the Mid-Missouri
Valley. Best rain chances will continue to be across the southeast
counties where slightly enhanced low-level onshore flow will be 
present as well as the best moisture. Elsewhere, only expect 
isolated convection except for perhaps the far northwest, due to 
lingering dry air in mid-levels. Clouds/precipitation may keep 
highs in the 80s in the southeast, with 90s elsewhere. Will keep 
some PoPs in the far northern counties overnight Thursday night 
for any remnants of convection developing ahead of the next 
system, though models are trending drier for this period. 

Moisture increases across the area Friday due to southwest flow
ahead of the next shortwave digging into the Mid-Mississippi 
Valley. However, the axis of mid-level dry area across the middle 
of the forecast area looks to linger a bit longer than previously 
forecast, so will indicate a split in the likely PoPs between the 
northwest counties and the southeast counties. A weak LLJ 
developing in association with weak low pressure over the Ohio 
Valley will result in a chances of showers/storms continuing 
across the northern counties Friday night. It's possible that an 
MCS could clip our far northern counties, though the better 
forcing will remain north of the area. Could see some stronger 
storms Friday/Friday night, but weak lapse rates/shear/DCAPE do 
not appear supportive of anything severe at this time. 

The best rain chances of the period appear to be on Saturday as
500mb heights fall and the shearing out shortwave moves over the
area, while PWATs increase to 2+ inches. Shortwave ridging moves
over the area on Sunday, but with an axis of above normal PWATs
remaining overhead, rain chances will remain a bit above normal.
Another relatively amplified shortwave will move eastward out of
the Plains on Monday, phasing with a longwave trough over eastern
Canada, resulting in a return to the western ridge/eastern trough
pattern that has been common this summer. Guidance has been
indicating the potential for a frontal passage sometime during
middle to latter portions of next week, but the most recent runs
have trended weaker with the front.  

32/Davis

Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For MOBILE County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 1100am CDT, Wednesday August 15, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 85 degrees north, near 92 degrees central, and near 88 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, partly sunny central, and partly sunny south. In the north, relative humidity is near 65%, and the dew point is near 72 degrees. The heat index is near 91 degrees north. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 48%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. The heat index is near 97 degrees central. In the south, relative humidity is near 65%, and the dew point is near 75 degrees. The heat index is near 97 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is danger north, danger central, and danger south. Winds are from the south at 5 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the east at 6 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 92 degrees at Birmingham. The lowest temperature is 83 degrees at Maxwell AFB.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For MOBILE County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

Current FORECAST not available 12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   AUG 20-24    AUG 22-28    AUG       AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday August 15, 2018 the 227th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.740000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 07:11 EDT Set 20:34 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:52 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:46 EDT Ends 20:59 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

///////////////////////////
AUGUST 15TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1787...
Tornadoes were reported in Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and
New Hampshire. Wethersfield CT was hard hit by the tornado outbreak. (David
Ludlum)
...1946...
Saint Louis MO was deluged with a record 8.78 inches of rain in 24 hours.
(The Weather Channel)
...1967...
The "sundance fire" in northern Idaho was started by lightning. Winds of 50
mph carried firebrands as much as ten miles in advance to ignite new fires,
and as a result, the forest fire spread twenty miles across the Selkirk
Mountains in just twelve hours, burning 56,000 acres. The heat of the fire
produced whirlwinds of flame with winds up to 300 mph which flung giant
trees about like matchsticks. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms developing ahead of a sharp cold front produced severe
weather in the Upper Midwest during the afternoon and evening hours, with
Minnesota and eastern South Dakota hardest hit. A thunderstorm in west
central Minnesota spawned a tornado at Eagle Lake which killed one person
and injured eight others. A thunder- storm in eastern South Dakota produced
softball size hail at Warner. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Thirty five cities in twenty states in the north central and northeastern
U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lamoni IA
and Baltimore MD, where the mercury hit 105 degrees. Temperatures 100
degrees or above were reported in twenty-two states. Pierre SD was the hot
spot in the nation with a high of 114 degrees. Bluefield WV reported eight
straight days of record heat. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Evening thunderstorms in eastern New Mexico produced wind gusts to 66 mph
at Clovis. Evening thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail
around Hereford, Dimmitt, Ware and Dalhart. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky