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Lower Baldwin County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

with north winds 10-15 mph. Winds will become calm this evening 
as a surface ridge moves into Alabama from the west. With dry air
in place and minimal cloud cover, temperatures will drop quickly 
this evening. No freezing temperatures expected tonight, but 
readings still will be below normal with lows in the middle 30s 
east to around 40 west. Patchy frost possible for areas along and 
east of I-65. A zone of low level warm air advection across
eastern Missouri will extend southeast overnight and bring some 
mid level clouds into northwest Alabama after midnight.


Friday through Thursday.

Surface high pressure continues to slide across the area with 
ridging aloft as the upper level trough shifts eastward off the East 
Coast Friday into Saturday. By early Saturday morning, the center of 
high pressure is over the Florida Peninsula, leading to southern 
flow for much of Central AL. A surface low moves through the Central 
Plains and into the TN Valley on Saturday, stretching a east to west 
oriented cold front that will push into the region for the weekend. 
This will lead to increased chances of rain both Saturday and 
Sunday. However, models disagree on how long the cold front lingers 
around into Sunday. Both the GFS and ECMWF develop a cold air 
damming pattern and a backdoor cold front moves into the area Sunday 
night. The GFS tries to keep moisture from the first cold front in 
the area and produces showers for both Sunday and Monday. The ECMWF 
pushes that first cold front through and has the backdoor cold front 
move in with less available moisture. Have opted to continue with 30-
40% chance of rain for both days due to the uncertainty of moisture 
availability and movement of frontal boundaries. 

Ridging builds back into the area on Tuesday. The GFS tries to 
maintain a moist airmass in the area with southerly flow around a 
high pressure center positioned over Southern Georgia. However, the 
ECMWF slides the high pressure closer to us and limits any precip. 
Therefore, will only carry slight chances of rain Tuesday into 
Wednesday, but this could be decreased if models trend to the high 
pressure being more directly over Central AL. 

Meanwhile, deep troughing slides through Southwestern States 
Wednesday into Thursday and models hint at a few impulses that move 
through providing increased rain chances along a stalled frontal 
boundary along the MS River Valley. However, models have been 
inconsistent on the timing of this front moving into our region and 
the evolution of the trough , so will only mention chance PoPs on 
Thursday for portions of Central AL.


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For LOWER BALDWIN County
400 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2018
MOBILE REG APT FAIR      70  35  27 N12       30.29F                  
BROOKLEY FIELD FAIR      70  34  26 NW13      30.29F                  
USA CAMPUS*    NOT AVBL                                               
DOG RIVER*     NOT AVBL                                               

GULF SHORES    FAIR      68  33  27 NW12G22   30.27F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 400pm CDT, Thursday March 22, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 59 degrees north, near 61 degrees central, and near 70 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, fair central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 29%, and the dew point is near 27 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 28%, and the dew point is near 28 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 27%, and the dew point is near 35 degrees. Winds are from the northwest at 14 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the north at 13 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the north at 12 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 70 degrees at Mobile and Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 58 degrees at Gadsden.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LOWER BALDWIN County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

Current FORECAST not available 12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                MAR 28-APR 1 MAR 30-APR 5    MAR       MAR-MAY                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above       Normal     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday March 22, 2018 the 81th Day of Year

Declination 1.020000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 06:48 EDT Set 19:02 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:54 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:24 EDT Ends 19:25 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A spectactular display of the Northern Lights was visible as far south as
Bradenton FL, El Paso TX, and Fresno CA. At Detroit MI, the display was
described "so brilliant as to blot out all stars below first magnitude".
(22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel)
A great flood crested on rivers from Ohio to Maine. The flood claimed 107
lives and caused 270 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum)
Six to ten inch rains caused the Chicago River to overflow its banks. (The
Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky