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Lawrence County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


.SHORT TERM...

Weak troughing remains entrenched across the area with high
precipitable water (PWAT) values near 2.00 inches from this
morning's sounding contributing to very efficient warm rainfall
processes with convection.

Again today, the higher rain chances are roughly along and east of
the Interstate 65 corridor as relatively drier conditions aloft
with weak subsidence exists across the western portion of the
forecast area.

Potential will exist for localized flooding in areas that 
experience multiple storms within a short duration or storm 
mergers over the next few days. Gusty showers with a few 
thunderstorms will also remain a risk with convection mainly
during the afternoon into the early evening hours with peak
surface based instability.

For the extended period, increased shower/storm coverage further
for this time period as a weakness in the broad ridging becomes 
more defined late this week and into the upcoming weekend with the
continued low level southeast flow with high PWAT values persisting
throughout the area. While no hazards are listed in the Hazardous
Weather Outlook product at this time, persistent rainfall with
heavy tropical downpours at times may pose an increasing risk for
localized flooding for the remainder of the week and into the
upcoming weekend. Updated 7-day guidance on rainfall across
portions of our far southern counties have some areas potentially
exceeding 5 inches.

05

.LONG TERM...
Wednesday through Monday.

Enhanced rain chances should continue for Wednesday and Thursday 
especially south of Interstate 20 where POPs are in the 50-60 
percent range. There is where models indicate a stalled 850mb
trough and the remnants of a disturbance. 

Models continue to indicate the development of a large trough 
encompassing the Southeast states and the Gulf of Mexico for
Friday through Monday. This system has the potential to gain 
subtropical characteristics with perhaps an area of surface low 
pressure in the Gulf. There is high confidence in unusually wet 
conditions during this period, and widespread 60-70 POPs are 
reasonable for this type of pattern.

87/Grantham

Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For LAWRENCE County
1200 AM CDT WED MAY 23 2018
NORTHWEST ALABAMA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COURTLAND HCN    N/A     73 N/A N/A SW3         N/A                   
RUSSELLVILLE     N/A     68 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
SHOALS AIRPORT FAIR      74  71  91 CALM      30.04F                  
SHOALS TVA RES   N/A     72 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 1200am CDT, Wednesday May 23, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 72 degrees north, near 73 degrees central, and near 73 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, fair central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, no stress central, and no stress south. Winds are from the east at 7 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Tuscaloosa, Muscle Shoals, Montgomery, Maxwell AFB, and Dothan. The lowest temperature is 69 degrees at Gadsden.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LAWRENCE County, AL

939 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight  

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible until midnight. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Wednesday through Monday  

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through 
Monday, with the greatest coverage occurring from the late morning 
into the early evening hours. Heavy rainfall will be the greatest 
threat with these storms although strong storms are possible 
Wednesday and Thursday, which would be capable of producing wind 
gusts in excess of 50 MPH.

 SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT  

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is 
not anticipated at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LAWRENCE County, Alabama
857 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

REST OF TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms late this evening. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds up to 5 mph late this evening becoming light. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Patchy fog in the morning. Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy in the morning, then mostly cloudy with slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the upper 60s.

SATURDAY
Thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                MAY 28-JUN 1 MAY 30-JUN 5    MAY       MAY-JUL                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above       Normal      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Below     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday May 23, 2018 the 143th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 20.770000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 06:42 EDT Set 20:48 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:44 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:16 EDT Ends 21:14 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

///////////////////
MAY 23RD...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1878...
An F4 tornado struck Mineral Point, WI killing 17 and injuring 45. A record 
book was carried 60 miles from a schoolhouse. In Primrose Township, the 
deed to Chandler Farm was found 10 miles away. (NWS Louisville)
...1882...
An unusual late season snow blanketed eastern Iowa, with four to six inches
reported around Washington. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
...1953...
The temperature at Hollis OK soared from a morning low of 70 degrees to an
afternoon high of 110 degrees to establish a state record for the month of
May. (The Weather Channel)
...2000...
An F3 tornado moved through the northeast and east sections of Leitchfield 
KY. An F0 tornado was spotted at Priceville KY. An F0 tornado touched down 
briefly in Taylor County. (NWS Louisville)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky