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Lawrence County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


.SHORT TERM...

Today and Tonight. 

After a cold and frosty start this morning, we will warm up into the 
50s across much of the area along with abundant sunshine. High 
pressure will build in and provide dry weather to the area through 
tonight. Look for temperatures to fall into the low 40s and upper 
30s by 10 pm, so it will be blanket, scarf, thick jacket, hot cocoa 
weather if you are outdoors early this evening. Lows will drop into 
low to mid 30s. A few locally cooler areas will still drop to below 
freezing but widespread freeze is not expected, but frost will be 
possible. Looks like we are going to hit our local criteria this 
morning for ending the fall freeze program, so will not issue 
anything at this time. Once the official numbers are in this 
morning, a statement will be made if the program is finished. If
not, a Frost Advisory may be needed.

16

.LONG TERM...

Saturday through Friday.

A relatively inactive weather outlook is on deck for the long-term 
for central Alabama as most of the central/eastern CONUS will be 
under the influence of a stable continental airmass. The exception 
here is for Monday as split upper-level flow remains in place across 
the country with an elongated positively tilted trough entering the 
picture from the Midwest within the Polar jetstream. This moves 
southeastward and brings another high pressure system and preceding 
cold front along with it. Have mentioned a slight chance for light 
rain in the far northwest on Monday along and behind the frontal 
boundary as some increase in PWs/isentropic ascent develops near 
there, though synoptic forcing looks to be weak overall. Would need 
to see more indication of frontogenetic and/or geostrophic lift to 
increase PoPs much above 15% at this time. Thereafter, high pressure 
settles in across the area and provides more calm and stable weather 
for much of the week. There are some hints in guidance of a more
robust trough/disturbance passing through towards the weekend, 
but don't have any forecast confidence for that at this point. 
Temperatures will remain pretty reasonable. A nice weekend 
featuring mid/upper 60s for highs, with a little cooler airmass 
within the next high pressure system next week bringing mid 
50s/60s.

40/Sizemore


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For LAWRENCE County
900 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2018
NORTHWEST ALABAMA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COURTLAND HCN    N/A     36 N/A N/A S3          N/A                   
RUSSELLVILLE     N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
SHOALS AIRPORT FAIR      38  32  79 SE3       30.20S                  
SHOALS TVA RES   N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 900am CST, Friday November 16, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 38 degrees north, near 41 degrees central, and near 49 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, partly sunny central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 79%, and the dew point is near 32 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 76%, and the dew point is near 34 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 52%, and the dew point is near 32 degrees. Winds are from the south at 8 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 32 degrees north. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 49 degrees at Mobile and Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 36 degrees at Anniston.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LAWRENCE County, AL

455 AM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight  

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday  

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is
not anticipated at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LAWRENCE County, Alabama
942 AM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

REST OF TODAY
Sunny. Not as cool with highs in the mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. Patchy fog after midnight. Cold with lows in the mid 30s. South winds up to 5 mph.

SATURDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. Highs in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   NOV 21-25    NOV 23-29    NOV   NOV18-JAN19                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal        Above     Normal     Normal                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Friday November 16, 2018 the 320th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -18.960000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:21 EST Set 17:44 EST
Transit Meridian 12:32 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 06:56 EST Ends 18:10 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

NOVEMBER 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1927...
Record daily precipitation amounts were set: 1.96 inches at Lexington and 
1.50 inches at Bowling Green, KY. (NWS Louisville)
...1958...
More than six inches of snow fell at Tucson AZ. (David Ludlum) (The Weather
Channel)
...1959...
The most severe November cold wave in U.S. history was in progress. A
weather observing station located 14 miles northeast of Lincoln MT reported
a reading of 53 degrees below zero, which established an all-time record
low temperature for the nation for the month of November. Their high that
day was one degree above zero. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
High winds and heavy snow created blizzard conditions across parts of
eastern Colorado. Wind gusts reached 68 mph at Pueblo, and snowfall totals
ranged up to 37 inches at Echo Lake. In Wyoming, the temperature dipped to
14 degrees below zero at Laramie. Strong thunderstorms in Louisiana
drenched Alexandria with 16.65 inches of rain in thirty hours, with an
unofficial total of 21.21 inches north of Olla. Flash flooding in Louisiana
caused five to six million dollars damage. (15th-16th) (Storm Data) (The
National Weather Summary)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky