US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

Issued at 755 PM CDT THU APR 18 2024

Due to clouds and convection in Mississippi, two areas of
instability develop over central Alabama this afternoon and early
evening. One was close to Sumter and Marengo Counties, while the
other was the northeast third of the area. The convection was
moving mainly slowly east southeast. Therefore, had to rearrange
the pops for this evening. The northeast area has since moved into
Georgia and diminished somewhat, while the highest pops will be
south and southwest. After midnight, there may still be some
activity north and left a chance in. The 00z BMX Raob still has
noticable dry air below 700mb, and this will continue to limit
overall activity too. Therefore, the updates consists of the pop
update and a temperature trend adjustment. Low clouds and patchy
fog are expected to develop overnight with lows in the 60s. The
scattered convection still remain possible Friday and the
discussion below holds.

75

Previous short-term discussion:
(This afternoon through Friday) 
Issued at 1247 PM CDT THU APR 18 2024

A broad area of low-level ridging is centered over the Central and 
Eastern Gulf of Mexico while lower amplitude mid-level ridging is 
also present over the Eastern CONUS, producing westerly flow aloft. 
Warm conditions are expected this afternoon with a mix of sun and 
clouds. Highs will reach the mid 80s. There will be an opportunity 
for some storms late today and into the evening hours as an embedded 
shortwave moves from the Midsouth region and across the Tennessee 
Valley. Some thunderstorms associated with this feature are already 
ongoing near the Mississippi River, but that activity has really 
struggled to maintain intensity with eastward extent as we still 
have residual dry air in the mid-levels. Some deeper moisture is 
confined near the shortwave, so expect the thunderstorms to 
eventually move into western portions of the area early this evening 
as the shortwave moves east, but instability will be on the decline 
by that point. Any strong storms moving through Mississippi should 
be on a weakening trend as they reach Central Alabama, so expect
the activity to be sub-severe.

Meanwhile, a surface low is forecast to moves towards the Ohio 
Valley tonight dragging a cold front across the Lower MS River 
Valley. Convection along the southern sections of the front will 
really struggle as it moves further into an unfavorable environment 
dominated by the Gulf ridge and lacking in deep moisture. As such, 
expect another round of decaying showers and a few storms to affect 
primarily the far northern portions of the area after midnight 
before diminishing by sunrise. Patchy fog appears likely tomorrow 
morning, especially in the south. Will monitor trends to see if a 
Dense Fog Advisory is needed. The frontal boundary will be near the 
I-20 corridor by tomorrow afternoon. As temperatures warm into the 
lower to mid 80s, some isolated to scattered thunderstorms will 
develop. Despite MUCAPE ranging from 2000-3000 J/kg along the
surface boundary, thunderstorm growth is expected to struggle 
through the dry air, limiting coverage, intensity, and longevity, 
but gusty thunderstorm winds will be possible in a few instances.

86/Martin

Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For GENEVA County
1100 PM CDT THU APR 18 2024

SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
DOTHAN         CLOUDY    72  67  84 SW10      30.11R TC  22           
OZARK          MOCLDY    72  68  88 S7        30.03F TC  22           
TROY           MOCLDY    69  66  90 E3        30.03F TC  21           
EUFAULA        CLOUDY    71  64  78 W3        30.07S TC  22           

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 1100pm CDT, Thursday April 18, 2024

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 68 degrees north, near 70 degrees central, and near 73 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly cloudy north, cloudy central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 66 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 78%, and the dew point is near 63 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. Winds are from the south at 6 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southeast at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 8 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 67 degrees at Tuscaloosa.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For GENEVA County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For GENEVA County, Alabama
133 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. Areas of fog in the morning. Highs in the upper 80s. West winds around 5 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama

                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   APR 24-28 APR 26-MAY 2    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:                                                                    
 Precipitation:                                                                    

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Friday April 19, 2024 the 110th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 11.700000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:12 EDT Set 20:23 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:46 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:47 EDT Ends 20:48 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 19TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1775...
The first engagement of the Revolutionary War took place under clear crisp
weather at Lexington-Concord. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
...1941...
The temperature at Sodus NY soared to 95 degrees. The next day Albany NY
reported a record for April of 93 degrees. (The Weather Channel)
...1973...
Glenrock WY received 41 inches of snow in just 24 hours, and a storm total
of 58 inches, to establish two state records. (18th-20th) (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
...1976...
The northeastern U.S. was in the midst of an early season heat wave, and
the Boston Marathon took place in 90 degree heat. At Providence RI the
mercury hit 98 degrees. (David Ludlum)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky