A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
zonal. Another impulse will sweep down the east side of the
ridge axis later tonight, and a few showers could move across
the northeast counties. Surface winds have become east southeast
in response deepening surface low over the Plains States. Warm air
advection in the 1000-850mb layer will increase overnight, but
low level moisture will be slow to increase due to dry air mass
over the Gulf of Mexico. Overall, much warmer temperatures tonight
with mainly high level clouds.
Saturday through Friday.
A weak low pressure system moves southeastward through the Upper
Plains and into the TN Valley Saturday into Sunday. This will
stretch a west to east oriented cold front through the TN Valley by
Saturday evening. Expect rain chances to increase along the front in
the northern portions of Central AL Saturday evening and into the
overnight hours through Sunday morning. The front begins to weaken
and stall across the area Sunday afternoon. Models show scattered
showers at best by this time, so I'm hesitant to go much above 40%
chance of rain for the region.
Cold air damming sets up in the Carolinas Sunday evening into Monday
morning, which results in a backdoor cold front moving east to west
across Central AL. The global models develop a little more shower
coverage with this boundary than the NAM does, so will keep
chance PoPs in the forecast. The question for rain chances will be
just how far south the initial cold front pushes and whether any
moisture remains to fuel the showers as the backdoor cold front
moves in. The cold air damming pattern remains in place through
Tuesday, limiting any rain chances due to the drier easterly flow
in addition to the upper level ridging moving across the area.
Meanwhile, a deep trough moves through the Western US and a surface
low moves quickly into the Great Lakes Region, stretching another
cold front through the Ohio and MS River Valleys. A high pressure
system remains in place over the Florida Peninsula Tuesday into
Wednesday, which stalls that front to our north and west. By
Wednesday evening/night, the deep trough shifts eastward through the
Great Plains and pushes the high pressure eastward. The GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement with the overall setup, hinting a
surface low developing and moving northeastward through the TN
Valley. However, models are having a difficult time resolving the
low, which means they are keeping it weak at this time. For now,
will forecast for a positively-tilted trough and cold front to push
through the area Thursday into Friday, bringing increased rain and
thunderstorm chances. Modest instability and a good amount of shear
is in place, but the upper jet and LLJ aren't aligned in the current
model guidance. Confidence just isn't there with how the parameters
are lining up to mention any severe threat for Thursday/Friday right
Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For FRANKLIN County
500 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
SHOALS AIRPORT PTSUNNY 60 38 43 SE5 30.16F
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 500pm CDT, Friday March 23, 2018
Across Alabama...temperatures are near 58 degrees north, near 69 degrees central, and near 69 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, partly sunny central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 47%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 28%, and the dew point is near 35 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 34%, and the dew point is near 40 degrees. Winds are from the east at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 12 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 16 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Evergreen. The lowest temperature is 58 degrees at Huntsville, Gadsden, and Decatur.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
U.S. Radar Map,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For FRANKLIN County, AL
212 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
DAY ONE Tonight
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Saturday through Thursday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday night. In addition,
locally heavy rainfall is possible from Wednesday through Friday.
Rainfall totals may approach four inches during this time, which
would cause areal and river flooding concerns by next weekend.
SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT
Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is
not anticipated at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For FRANKLIN County, Alabama
413 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
LATE THIS AFTERNOON
Mostly cloudy with occasional sprinkles.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT Mostly cloudy. Occasional sprinkles in the evening. Lows
in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 70.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain
SATURDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to
20 mph, becoming west after midnight.
SUNDAY Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain
SUNDAY NIGHT Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 50. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s.
TUESDAY NIGHT Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s.
WEDNESDAY Showers likely. Highs around 70. Chance of rain
WEDNESDAY NIGHT Showers likely with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
THURSDAY Showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 60s. Chance of rain 80 percent.
THURSDAY NIGHT Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s.
FRIDAY Mostly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. Highs in the
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
MAR 29-APR 2 MAR 31-APR 6 MAR MAR-MAY
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Normal Below Normal Above
Precipitation: Above Normal Above Normal
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Friday March 23, 2018 the 82th Day of Year
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 06:47 EDT Set 19:02 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:54 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:23 EDT Ends 19:26 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
A vicious tornado hit the city of Omaha NE. The tornado struck during the
late afternoon on Easter Sunday, and in just twelve minutes cut a swath of
total destruction five miles long and two blocks wide across the city
killing 94 persons and causing 3.5 million dollars property damage. (David
Pocatello ID received a record 14.6 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky