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Crenshaw County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


.SHORT TERM...
Through Sunday.

Widespread showers and storms have developed this afternoon in
response to the lift associated with the upper level low pressure
centered just off the Gulf Coast. With PWATs well over 2 inches
for most of Central Alabama, these storms have been efficient
rainfall producers. One storm that popped up over the Bessemer
Airport dropped 1.74 inches in just over an hour. A wind gust to
31 knots was also reported in Bessemer, but gusty winds haven't 
been very prevalent with these storms today due to the saturated 
air mass that's in place. Fortunately, we haven't had any storms 
last long enough to cause any flood concerns like we had during 
the day on Friday. Even with the widespread showers and storms 
there have still been a few spots that remain bone dry. One of 
those spots is our office here at the Shelby County Airport. 
That's certainly the nature of summer convection here across 
Central Alabama. We can expect at least numerous showers and 
storms to continue through the early evening hours, and we're 
watching some fairly strong outflow boundaries pushing northward 
out of southern Alabama. Those boundaries have triggered showers 
and a few storms in Troy and will be capable of keeping convection
going through at least the next 3 to 4 hours farther north.

Convective activity and coverage will diminish with the loss of 
daytime heating this evening. However, with the upper low still in
the vicinity as a lifting mechanism on the synoptic scale there 
have been some indications in guidance of showers and storms
continuing to persist during the overnight hours. That would
especially be the case across the western and northern counties, 
and have left mention of chance and slight chance PoPs in the 
forecast through the overnight hours.

Sunday should feature less coverage of showers and storms, as was
covered in the previous discussion. Drier air, as can be clearly
seen in WV Satellite this afternoon over much of Georgia and South
Carolina, will start pushing into eastern Alabama by Sunday
afternoon. Only isolated to scattered PoPs can be expected, with
highest coverage expected across the western and northwest
counties.

56/GDG

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0337 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2019/

Sunday through Friday. 

Moisture quality should decrease on Sunday as a weak 500 mb low
continues to move westward away from the forecast area. A ridge 
to our east is expected to provide weak subsidence across our 
central and eastern counties, where PWAT values may fall to around
1.7 inches. This will support POPs ranging from 30 percent in the
southeastern counties to 50 percent in the northwestern counties,
and a further reduction in rain chances may be needed. A similar 
setup is likely for Monday as 2 inch PWAT values remain confined 
to the northwest of I-59. 

On Monday night, the first cold front in quite some time will be 
approaching from the northwest, providing a focus for showers and
storms. Rain chances should increase during the evening and 
overnight hours from the northwest, with rain chances of 60 to 70
percent along and north of I-20 through daybreak on Tuesday. 
While the southern half of the forecast area appears to be in line
for widespread showers and storms on Tuesday afternoon, rainfall 
amounts near I-20 will depend on the timing of the cold front. If
the front passes through during the early morning hours, a lack 
of daytime heating could lead to a relative lull in convection and
rainfall intensity.

Much drier air will be advected in behind the front for Wednesday 
and Thursday, leading to rain chances being confined to our 
southeastern counties near the stalled front. Moisture recovery
and higher rain chances are expected on Friday with the onset of 
moist southerly flow.

87/Grantham


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For CRENSHAW County
700 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2019
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
GREENVILLE     FAIR      80  68  66 CALM      30.01F                  
6HR MIN TEMP:  79; 6HR MAX TEMP:  89; 6HR PCP: TRACE;                

EVERGREEN      FAIR      82  72  71 SW3       30.01F                  
6HR MIN TEMP:  80; 6HR MAX TEMP:  85; 6HR PCP: TRACE;                

ATMORE*          N/A    N/A N/A N/A SW3       30.03S                  
ANDALUSIA/OPP  FAIR      82  73  74 CALM      30.01F                  
6HR MIN TEMP:  82; 6HR MAX TEMP:  90; 6HR PCP: TRACE;                

ANDALUSIA*     NOT AVBL                                               
FLORALA APT    FAIR      83  72  69 VRB3      30.03S                  
6HR MIN TEMP:  79; 6HR MAX TEMP:  87;                                

FLORALA*         N/A     68  52  56 CALM      30.02S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 700pm CDT, Saturday July 20, 2019

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 79 degrees north, near 78 degrees central, and near 82 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, cloudy central, and partly sunny south. In the north, relative humidity is near 87%, and the dew point is near 75 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 79%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 76%, and the dew point is near 74 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, no stress central, and no stress south. Winds are from the south at 7 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the west at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 7 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 84 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 73 degrees at Auburn and Alexander City.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For CRENSHAW County, AL

536 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2019

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

The probability for hazardous weather is low. However a few storms
today could produce wind gusts up to around 35 to 45 mph. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday.

The probability for hazardous weather is low.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For CRENSHAW County, Alabama
317 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2019

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds up to 5 mph.

SUNDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

TUESDAY
Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

FRIDAY
Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 26-30 JUL 28-AUG 3    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Saturday July 20, 2019 the 201th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 20.520000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 06:52 EDT Set 20:56 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:54 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:26 EDT Ends 21:23 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////
JULY 20TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1930...
The temperature at Washington D.C. soared to an all-time record of 106
degrees. The next day Millsboro reached 110 degrees to set a record for the
state of Delaware. July 1930 was one of the hottest and driest summers in
the U.S., particularly in the Missouri Valley where severe drought
conditions developed. Toward the end of the month state records were set
for Kentucky with 114 degrees, and Mississippi with 115 degrees. (David
Ludlum)
...1934...
The temperature at Keokuk IA soared to 118 degrees to establish a state
record. (The Weather Channel)
...1953...
Twenty-two inches of hail reportedly fell northeast of Dickinson ND. (The
Weather Channel)
...1986...
The temperature at Charleston SC hit 104 degrees for the second day in a
row to tie their all-time record high. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Thunderstorms produced severe weather across Minnesota, Wisconsin and
Michigan. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 87 mph at Mosinee WI, and
strong thunderstorm winds capsized twenty-six boats on Grand Traverse Bay
drowning two women. Thunderstorms produced nine inches of rain at Shakopee
MN, with 7.83 inches reported in six hours at Chaska MN. Thunderstorms in
north central Nebraska produced hail as large as golf balls in southwestern
Cherry County, which accumulated to a depth of 12 inches. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
The temperature at Redding CA soared to an all-time record high of 118
degrees. Showers and thunderstorms produced much needed rains from New
England to southern Texas. Salem IN was deluged with 7.2 inches of rain
resulting in flash flooding. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Showers and thunderstorms in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region soaked
Wilmington DE with 2.28 inches of rain, pushing their total for the period
May through July past the previous record of 22.43 inches. Heavy rain over
that three month period virtually wiped out a 16.82 inch deficit which had
been building since drought conditions began in 1985. Thunderstorms in
central Indiana deluged Lebanon with 6.50 inches of rain in twelve hours,
and thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 84 mph at Flagler
Beach. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky