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Crenshaw County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

Today and tonight.

High-level clouds are widespread across the region this morning in 
advance of a developing storm system over the Southern Plains. A 
strong 500 mb shortwave continues to dig southward across the Four 
Corners region, causing the ejection of a subtropical shortwave from 
northern Mexico toward the Deep South. This feature is expected to 
be the focus for convection in the northern Gulf of Mexico this 
afternoon and into tonight. Meanwhile, isentropic lift will begin to 
strengthen over our forecast area. Rain chances after 21Z should 
increase from southwest to northeast with 80-100 percent POPs for 
tonight. Rainfall amounts should be limited by a mass of convection 
along or south of the Gulf Coast. If this moisture-robbing complex 
ends up being more disruptive than expected, the POP forecast 
tonight could bust. For now, it appears that light to moderate rain 
is a good bet due to lift from warm advection and upper-level 


Friday and Saturday.

A large vertically-stacked low will be moving into the southern 
Mississippi River Valley Friday morning, with the initial wave of 
light to moderate rain pushing eastward out of Central Alabama. A 
mid level dry slot will spread into the area, with PW values falling 
to below 1 inch through the day from west to east, ahead of the 
upper low and surface cold front. Expect an increase in wind shear 
as upper level winds increase ahead of the upper low, but surface 
instability should be curbed by cloud cover and a low level cap due 
to warm advection and a rain cooled boundary layer. Shower activity 
through the day and into Saturday should remain light as the upper 
level low crosses the region, and chances of thunder low. Will 
gradually trim pops from southwest to northeast, Friday and 
Saturday, with best coverage in the north given the track of the 
upper low. 

Not much cold air behind this system, with highs Saturday in 50s, 
and lows generally in the low to mid 40s Saturday night.


Sunday through Friday morning.

Conditions continue to dry out on Sunday as the upper level low 
progresses northeast along the Atlantic coast. This will allow for 
upper level flow to become more northwesterly. Upper level ridging 
and high pressure will be the predominate weather pattern for the 
start of the next week. High pressure builds into the area on Monday 
and becomes centralized over Alabama by Tuesday.
Overall conditions will be relatively dry, with slightly warmer 
daytime highs and cooler overnight lows. An upper level low begins 
to develop just north of the Mexican plateau causing the upper level 
ridge/high pressure pattern to flatten and slide eastward Wednesday 
morning. There are some inconsistencies regarding how quickly this 
upper level low will progress eastward. Therefore, leading to 
uncertainty regarding when the next chances for rain will be. At 
this time, I have not added in any mentionable PoPs for Thursday or 
Friday this far out.  


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For CRENSHAW County
1000 AM CST THU DEC 13 2018
GREENVILLE     FAIR      55  39  54 SE10      30.12F                  
EVERGREEN      NOT AVBL                                               
ATMORE*          N/A    N/A N/A N/A SE10      30.84F                  
ANDALUSIA/OPP  FAIR      56  41  57 E8        30.14S                  
ANDALUSIA*       N/A     54  43  66 E8        30.12F                  
FLORALA APT    FAIR      52  41  66 E5        30.15F                  
FLORALA*         N/A     50  41  71 CALM      30.85F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For CRENSHAW County, AL

628 AM CST Thu Dec 13 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

Numerous to widespread showers and a few thunderstorms are expected 
today and tonight ahead of an approaching low pressure system and 
cold front. Heavy rainfall will be possible across much of the area 
which could lead to localized flash flooding, particularly in low 
lying and poor drainage areas. In addition, a severe storm or two is 
possible over extreme southeast Mississippi, extreme southwest 
Alabama and the western Florida panhandle.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.


Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For CRENSHAW County, Alabama
401 AM CST Thu Dec 13 2018

Cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Warmer. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Cooler. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   DEC 18-22    DEC 20-26    DEC   DEC18-FEB19                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal     Normal                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday December 13, 2018 the 347th Day of Year

Declination -23.200000
Distance 0.999724 AU
Rise 07:44 EST Set 17:41 EST
Transit Meridian 12:42 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:17 EST Ends 18:08 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A heavy snowstorm kicked off the snowiest winter in modern records for
western New England. (The Weather Channel)
Record cold weather gripped the nation. The low temperature in Lexington, KY 
fell to -6 degrees (record low on this date), -3 at Covington and -3 at Paducah. 
Severe cold conditions went as far south as Florida with a hard freeze. Morning 
lows reached 35 degrees at Miami, 18 degrees at Tampa, and 12 degrees at 
Jacksonville. It was the coldest December weather of the 20th century and caused 
millions of dollars damage to crops and foliage. In Georgia, the morning low of 
9 degrees below zero at Blairsville established a state record for the month of 
A major winter storm produced high winds and heavy snow in the Southern
Rockies and the Southern High Plains. Snowfall totals in New Mexico ranged
up to 25 inches at Cedar Crest, with up to three feet of snow reported in
the higher elevations. Winds of 75 mph, with gusts to 124 mph, were
reported northeast of Albuquerque NM. El Paso TX was buried under 22.4
inches of snow, including a single storm record of 16.8 inches in 24 hours.
The snowfall total surpassed their previous record for an entire winter
season of 18.4 inches. Record cold was experienced the next three nights as
readings dipped into the single numbers. High winds ushering unseasonably
cold air into the southwestern U.S. gusted to 100 mph at Grapevine CA. (The
National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
Low pressure off the Atlantic coast produced up to a foot of snow in
eastern Nassau County and western Suffolk County of southeastern New York
State. Mild weather prevailed across the western half of the country. Nine
cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Goodland
KS with a reading of 74 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm
Strong northwesterly winds, ushering bitterly cold arctic air into the
central U.S., produced squalls with heavy snow in the Great Lakes Region.
Snowfall totals in Upper Michigan ranged up to 24 inches at Manistique.
Nine cities in Arkansas and Texas reported record low temperatures for the
date, including Calico Rock AR with a reading of 4 degrees above zero.
(Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky