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Conecuh County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

Tonight and Tuesday.

A cold front has made its way into our northwestern counties, and 
significantly cooler air is located across northern MS and western
TN where temperatures are in the 50s and 60s. Ahead of the front,
a warm and humid airmass has resulted in the development of 
isolated convection. Through midnight, most of this activity 
should remain confined to our southern counties, where more
numerous activity lies upstream. 

The front should continue moving slowly southward through Tuesday,
and the cooler airmass will undercut west-southwesterly flow 
aloft. Light rain could begin to develop before daybreak along and
north of I-20, but the strongest isentropic lift should occur 
late Tuesday morning through the afternoon. Rain chances have 
been raised to 50-70 percent along and north of I-20 for Tuesday 


Wednesday through Monday.

By Wednesday, a few areas of light rain may still be around, 
though don't have PoPs higher than 20% after 12z at this time. 
Lows in the mid 40s are not out of the question for areas across 
the north on Wednesday night, with upper 50s across the south.

Thursday through Monday.
Once the drier and cooler airmass by Wednesday night, we should 
have a couple of pleasant weather days on Thursday/Friday as 
forecast highs in the upper 60s to upper 70s are featured both 
days. A slight chance for rain is mentioned for Friday across the  
west as easterly winds veer to the southeast with a rise in 
dewpoints/moisture content. This is due to the surface high 
pressure to our north on Thursday moving off the East Coast by 
Friday evening. During this time, the next noticeable trough 
enters from Canada into the Northern Plains and digs 

As a result, the mid/upper-level split flow configuration across
the majority of the country merges to our north by Friday as the 
sub-tropical and polar jet streams further enhance lift across 
the lower Mississippi Valley. The associated frontal boundary 
should enter our region late Saturday/early Sunday as well. This 
feature, combined with mid/upper-level support could resemble the 
overall setup we experienced earlier in the week. Enhanced rain 
chances are expected Saturday and into Sunday before cold air 
advection once again brings a drop in temperatures. Highs in the 
60s/70s, with 40s/50s for lows, are currently forecast from Sunday 
through the end of the forecast period with no rain chances 


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For CONECUH County
900 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018
MOBILE         MOCLDY    78  76  93 CALM      30.10R                  
BROOKLEY FIELD MOCLDY    79  77  94 SE3       30.09S                  
EVERGREEN      CLOUDY    76  71  85 N6        30.11R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 800pm CDT, Monday October 15, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 64 degrees north, near 72 degrees central, and near 79 degrees south. Current sky conditions are light rain north, fair central, and mostly cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 80%, and the dew point is near 58 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 84%, and the dew point is near 67 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 76 degrees. Winds are from the north at 10 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 81 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 62 degrees at Muscle Shoals.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For CONECUH County, AL

1141 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a moderate risk of dangerous rip currents along area 
beaches through tonight.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday through Sunday

There is a moderate risk of dangerous rip currents along area
beaches through Tuesday night.


Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Sunday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For CONECUH County, Alabama
358 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the north after midnight. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds up to 5 mph.

Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows around 60.

Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.

Cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Cooler. Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the mid 50s.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 21-25    OCT 23-29    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below                                            
 Precipitation:      Above        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Monday October 15, 2018 the 288th Day of Year

Declination -8.870000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:53 EDT Set 19:14 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:33 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:29 EDT Ends 19:38 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A violent early season blizzard raked Minnesota and the Dakotas. Winds
gusted to 70 mph at Yankton SD, and snow drifts 10 to 15 feet high were
reported in northwest Iowa and southeast South Dakota. Saint Paul MN
reported a barometric pressure of 28.65 inches on the 16th. Railroads were
blocked by drifts of snow which remained throughout the severe winter to
follow. Gales did extensive damage to ship on the Great Lakes. (15th-16th)
(David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
Hurricane Hazel struck the Carolina coastline. The hurricane demolished
every pier along a 170 mile stretch from Myrtle Beach SC to Cedar Island
NC, and obliterated entire lines of beach homes. Hurricane Hazel also
destroyed 1500 homes as it moved inland with seventeen foot tides. Winds
between Myrtle Beach SC and Cape Fear NC gusted to 150 mph. Hurricane Hazel
caused 163 million dollars damage, and claimed the lives of 98 persons.
(David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
Iowa experienced its worst late season tornado of record. In just one
minute a twister tore through the town of Belmond leveling 75 percent of
the businesses, and 100 homes, causing more than eleven million dollars
damage. (The Weather Channel)
Unseasonably cold weather continued in the eastern U.S., with thirteen
cities reporting record low temperatures for the date. The low of 34
degrees at Montgomery AL was their coldest reading of record for so early
in the season. Lows of 32 degrees at Harrisburg PA and 34 degrees at
Parkersburg WV marked their third straight morning of record cold. (The
National Weather Summary)
The cold high pressure system responsible for the record low temperatures
in the eastern U.S. began to move out to sea, giving way to a trend toward
"Indian Summer". Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced
golf ball size hail at Altamont KS and hail two inches in diameter at Yates
City IL. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
Hurricane Jerry made landfall at Galveston TX at 6:30 PM (CDT). Winds at
the Galveston Airport reached 75 mph, with gusts to 100 mph. Tides along
the island were six to eight feet, and rainfall totals ranged up to
slightly more than six inches north of Beaumont. Three persons were killed
when their vehicle was blown off the Galveston seawall into the pounding
surf. Total damage along the Upper Texas Coast was estimated at fifteen
million dollars. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Lower Michigan
during the late morning. Two persons were injured when a tree fell on their
camper at the Traverse City State park. While strong northerly winds
ushered much colder air into the central U.S., unseasonably warm weather
continued in the south central and eastern U.S. The afternoon high of 82
degrees at Bluefield WV was a record for October. (The National Weather
Summary) (Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky