A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
zonal. Another impulse will sweep down the east side of the
ridge axis later tonight, and a few showers could move across
the northeast counties. Surface winds have become east southeast
in response deepening surface low over the Plains States. Warm air
advection in the 1000-850mb layer will increase overnight, but
low level moisture will be slow to increase due to dry air mass
over the Gulf of Mexico. Overall, much warmer temperatures tonight
with mainly high level clouds.
Saturday through Friday.
A weak low pressure system moves southeastward through the Upper
Plains and into the TN Valley Saturday into Sunday. This will
stretch a west to east oriented cold front through the TN Valley by
Saturday evening. Expect rain chances to increase along the front in
the northern portions of Central AL Saturday evening and into the
overnight hours through Sunday morning. The front begins to weaken
and stall across the area Sunday afternoon. Models show scattered
showers at best by this time, so I'm hesitant to go much above 40%
chance of rain for the region.
Cold air damming sets up in the Carolinas Sunday evening into Monday
morning, which results in a backdoor cold front moving east to west
across Central AL. The global models develop a little more shower
coverage with this boundary than the NAM does, so will keep
chance PoPs in the forecast. The question for rain chances will be
just how far south the initial cold front pushes and whether any
moisture remains to fuel the showers as the backdoor cold front
moves in. The cold air damming pattern remains in place through
Tuesday, limiting any rain chances due to the drier easterly flow
in addition to the upper level ridging moving across the area.
Meanwhile, a deep trough moves through the Western US and a surface
low moves quickly into the Great Lakes Region, stretching another
cold front through the Ohio and MS River Valleys. A high pressure
system remains in place over the Florida Peninsula Tuesday into
Wednesday, which stalls that front to our north and west. By
Wednesday evening/night, the deep trough shifts eastward through the
Great Plains and pushes the high pressure eastward. The GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement with the overall setup, hinting a
surface low developing and moving northeastward through the TN
Valley. However, models are having a difficult time resolving the
low, which means they are keeping it weak at this time. For now,
will forecast for a positively-tilted trough and cold front to push
through the area Thursday into Friday, bringing increased rain and
thunderstorm chances. Modest instability and a good amount of shear
is in place, but the upper jet and LLJ aren't aligned in the current
model guidance. Confidence just isn't there with how the parameters
are lining up to mention any severe threat for Thursday/Friday right
Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For CHOCTAW County
500 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
GREENVILLE FAIR 72 33 24 S8 30.17F
EVERGREEN LGT RAIN 74 36 25 S10 30.19F
ATMORE* N/A 70 43 37 S10 30.96S
ANDALUSIA/OPP FAIR 73 34 23 VRB6 30.19F
ANDALUSIA* N/A 70 36 28 S6 30.19F
FLORALA APT FAIR 71 33 24 CALM 30.21
FLORALA* N/A 72 37 28 S3 30.94F
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 500pm CDT, Friday March 23, 2018
Across Alabama...temperatures are near 58 degrees north, near 69 degrees central, and near 69 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, partly sunny central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 47%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 28%, and the dew point is near 35 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 34%, and the dew point is near 40 degrees. Winds are from the east at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 12 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 16 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Evergreen. The lowest temperature is 58 degrees at Huntsville, Gadsden, and Decatur.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
U.S. Radar Map,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For CHOCTAW County, AL
103 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
DAY ONE This Afternoon and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Saturday through Thursday.
Moderate risk of rip currents Sunday into early next week along the
Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For CHOCTAW County, Alabama
333 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers
after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
SUNDAY Patchy fog in the morning. Mostly cloudy with chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
SUNDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph
shifting to the southeast after midnight.
MONDAY Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent.
MONDAY NIGHT Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 50s.
TUESDAY Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the lower 70s.
TUESDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
WEDNESDAY Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent.
THURSDAY Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
THURSDAY NIGHT Cooler. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
FRIDAY Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
MAR 29-APR 2 MAR 31-APR 6 MAR MAR-MAY
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Normal Below Normal Above
Precipitation: Above Normal Above Normal
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Friday March 23, 2018 the 82th Day of Year
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 06:47 EDT Set 19:02 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:54 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:23 EDT Ends 19:26 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
A vicious tornado hit the city of Omaha NE. The tornado struck during the
late afternoon on Easter Sunday, and in just twelve minutes cut a swath of
total destruction five miles long and two blocks wide across the city
killing 94 persons and causing 3.5 million dollars property damage. (David
Pocatello ID received a record 14.6 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky